Issues with crime, violence, and insecurity have been at the center of the political arena throughout Latin America, but especially in El Salvador. El Salvador has one of the highest rates of homicide in the region and, indeed, the world. It is also home to one of the most significant and violent gangs in the world, Mara Salvatrucha (MS-13), which is believed to be responsible for most of the violence. While the research on violence within the region is well documented and policymakers alike have adopted various strategies to address violence, nobody has considered whether the age distribution of the population is associated with this rise in homicide rates. In essence, is experiencing a youth bulge a critical element to this uptick in violence? Accordingly, does a change in youth demographics indicate future drops in homicide rates in the country? We utilize the concept of the age-crime curve in criminology to examine variations in the age-crime curve in El Salvador, along with the distribution of homicides over several decades. We also incorporate other correlates of violence and violence-reduction techniques.
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